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Phys. Rev. E 73, 031114 (2006) [8 pages]

Entropy of seismic electric signals: Analysis in natural time under time reversal

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P. A. Varotsos1,2,*, N. V. Sarlis1, E. S. Skordas1,2, H. K. Tanaka3, and M. S. Lazaridou1
1Solid State Section, Physics Department, University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Zografos 157 84, Athens, Greece
2Solid Earth Physics Institute, Physics Department, University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Zografos 157 84, Athens, Greece
3Earthquake Prediction Research Center, Tokai University 3-20-1, Shimizu-Orido, Shizuoka 424-8610, Japan

Received 16 April 2005; revised 15 December 2005; published 27 March 2006

Electric signals have been recently recorded at the Earth’s surface with amplitudes appreciably larger than those hitherto reported. Their entropy in natural time is smaller than that of a “uniform” distribution. The same holds for their entropy upon time reversal. Such a behavior, which is also found by numerical simulations in fractional Brownian motion time series and in an on-off intermittency model, stems from infinitely ranged long range temporal correlations and hence these signals are probably seismic electric signal activities (critical dynamics). This classification is strikingly confirmed since three strong nearby earthquakes occurred (which is an extremely unusual fact) after the original submission of the present paper. The entropy fluctuations are found to increase upon approaching bursting, which is reminiscent of the behavior identifying sudden cardiac death individuals when analyzing their electrocardiograms.

© 2006 The American Physical Society

URL:
http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevE.73.031114
DOI:
10.1103/PhysRevE.73.031114
PACS:
91.30.Dk, 05.40.−a, 05.45.Tp, 87.19.Nn

*Electronic address: pvaro@otenet.gr