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Phys. Rev. E 71, 052902 (2005) [4 pages]

Periodicity of mass extinctions without an extraterrestrial cause

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Adam Lipowski1
1Faculty of Physics, Adam Mickiewicz University, 61-614 Poznań, Poland

Received 28 November 2004; published 20 May 2005

We study a lattice model of a multispecies prey-predator system. Numerical results show that for a small mutation rate the model develops irregular long-period oscillatory behavior with sizeable changes in a number of species. The periodicity of extinctions on Earth was suggested by Raup and Sepkoski Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 81 801 (1984)], but thus far is lacking a satisfactory explanation. Our model indicates that this might be a natural consequence of the ecosystem dynamics and not the result of any extraterrestrial cause.

© 2005 The American Physical Society

URL:
http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevE.71.052902
DOI:
10.1103/PhysRevE.71.052902
PACS:
87.23.−n