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Phys. Rev. E 70, 026101 (2004) [9 pages]

Stochastic dynamical model for stock-stock correlations

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Wen-Jong Ma and Chin-Kun Hu*
Institute of Physics, Academia Sinica, Nankang, Taipei 11529, Taiwan

Ravindra E. Amritkar
Physical Research Laboratory, Navrangpura, Ahmedabad 380009, India

Received 2 October 2003; revised 1 January 2004; published 4 August 2004

We propose a model of coupled random walks for stock-stock correlations. The walks in the model are coupled via a mechanism that the displacement (price change) of each walk (stock) is activated by the price gradients over some underlying network. We assume that the network has two underlying structures, describing the correlations among the stocks of the whole market and among those within individual groups, respectively, each with a coupling parameter controlling the degree of correlation. The model provides the interpretation of the features displayed in the distribution of the eigenvalues for the correlation matrix of real market on the level of time sequences. We verify that such modeling indeed gives good fitting for the market data of US stocks.

© 2004 The American Physical Society

URL:
http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevE.70.026101
DOI:
10.1103/PhysRevE.70.026101
PACS:
89.65.Gh, 05.40.Fb

*Electronic address: huck@phys.sinica.edu.tw