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Phys. Rev. E 69, 036129 (2004) [8 pages]

Comparison of field theory models of interest rates with market data

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Belal E. Baaquie* and Marakani Srikant
Department of Physics, National University of Singapore, 2 Science Drive, Singapore 117542

Received 25 September 2002; revised 13 May 2003; published 31 March 2004

We calibrate and test various variants of field theory models of the interest rate with data from Eurodollar futures. Models based on psychological factors are seen to provide the best fit to the market. We make a model independent determination of the volatility function of the forward rates from market data.

© 2004 The American Physical Society

URL:
http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevE.69.036129
DOI:
10.1103/PhysRevE.69.036129
PACS:
89.65.Gh, 05.10.Gg, 05.40.Jc

*Electronic address: phybeb@nus.edu.sg

Electronic address: srikant@srikant.org